PapaAfrica
0xd934ee085d2349027111f1e5c6d12eb1cc41b664
- Realised P&L
- $-726.60
- Volume
- $22.3k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $202.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$404.44at 0.090Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$296.21at 0.542Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?
- +$199.20at 0.501Big Game: Coin Toss
- +$132.86at 0.070Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$71.95at 0.410Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:56 | Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $75.82 |
| 05-14 13:56 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $62.14 |
| 04-18 18:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 04-18 18:08 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.4603129014 | $100.33 |
| 04-18 18:07 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.5672880915 | $109.09 |
| 02-10 01:34 | Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? | BUY | 0.6198347064 | $50.00 |
| 02-10 01:33 | Stripe IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1949857465 | $50.00 |
| 02-10 01:33 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.4587935088 | $100.00 |
| 02-10 01:32 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 02-10 01:31 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 02-10 01:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1099999962 | $25.00 |
| 02-10 01:31 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.2894211559 | $100.00 |
| 02-10 01:30 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 02-08 19:41 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |
| 02-08 19:41 | Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.1775012084 | $10.00 |