PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

PapaAfrica

0xd934ee085d2349027111f1e5c6d12eb1cc41b664

Realised P&L
$-726.60
Volume
$22.3k
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$202.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes0.4901.000$61.22+$31.22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4800.512$53.39+$3.39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2900.162$41.77$33.23
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.060$31.58$68.42
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1950.047$12.05$37.95
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.002$2.05$12.95
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$20.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$50.00
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$50.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$25.00
Will the price of Solana be greater than $200 on August 15? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$100.00
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? · Yes0.6330.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.4630.000$0.00$60.06
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-14 13:56Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?SELL0.94$75.82
05-14 13:56MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?SELL0.87$62.14
04-18 18:09Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999986$100.00
04-18 18:08Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.4603129014$100.33
04-18 18:07OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.5672880915$109.09
02-10 01:34Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?BUY0.6198347064$50.00
02-10 01:33Stripe IPO before 2027?BUY0.1949857465$50.00
02-10 01:33Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.4587935088$100.00
02-10 01:32OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.5199999983$100.00
02-10 01:31Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1399999976$50.00
02-10 01:31Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1099999962$25.00
02-10 01:31Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.2894211559$100.00
02-10 01:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.16$100.00
02-08 19:41Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4799999981$50.00
02-08 19:41Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?BUY0.1775012084$10.00