PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5A51849c4CB5C33eefFf4EcC91d987Cfc72489AB-1730859984860

0xd8d9cfbcedf7cfec07b17b34ad7eeb1b6ccf44c7

Realised P&L
$-143.58
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$632.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9300.941$470.25+$5.25
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6500.705$140.99+$11.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.3600.275$13.75−$4.25
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.0300.031$7.75+$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 08:45Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.2999955$60.00
10-29 08:45Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.116649434$61.82
10-27 19:54Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.18$5.40
10-23 17:25Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3505730887$100.00
10-21 15:00LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.78$23.40
10-21 10:17Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$24.00
09-04 18:47Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?SELL0.1021763357$5.79
09-04 07:23Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 5, 2026?BUY0.845$42.25
09-04 01:53Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?BUY0.7053179565$40.00
09-04 01:53Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?SELL0.991$20.64
09-04 01:53Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?SELL0.929$69.17
09-02 16:34Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?BUY0.96$20.00
09-02 16:34Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?BUY0.9399999997$70.00
09-02 16:33Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.999$51.92
09-02 16:33Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?SELL0.999$33.56