cryptomikey1
0xd89260404e1c61faea857e4f4084d37be81461fc
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $31.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $114.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.017 | $62.98 | −$386.37 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.011 | $51.99 | −$248.01 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) · Indiana | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.99 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$778.41 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.362 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$947.60 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 17:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1177326263 | $449.35 |
| 08-07 17:39 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0605903402 | $300.00 |
| 08-07 17:38 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.019 | $200.00 |
| 01-19 20:31 | Spread: Indiana (-7.5) | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $1.2k |
| 01-15 00:47 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3621945961 | $947.60 |
| 01-15 00:46 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2504450629 | $778.41 |
| 01-15 00:46 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999997 | $250.00 |