joennis
0xd85da6e47410324e32cc12fcc86e5e44a2c63700
- Realised P&L
- $-571.62
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$313.58at 0.484US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$19.36at 0.305Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 9?
- +$18.46at 0.980Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
- +$13.42at 0.548Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?
- +$13.15at 0.428Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:31 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-16 20:14 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.16 |
| 09-16 14:22 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.863 | $4.31 |
| 09-16 14:05 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.95 |
| 09-16 14:05 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.95 |
| 09-16 13:48 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $16.15 |
| 09-15 18:28 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $49.40 |
| 09-14 11:01 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.862 | $4.31 |
| 09-13 05:44 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $11.40 |
| 09-09 03:41 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $12.48 |
| 09-07 23:59 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $22.08 |
| 09-05 14:56 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $6.87 |
| 09-05 13:46 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $6.85 |
| 09-04 13:57 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.849 | $16.13 |
| 09-04 07:38 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.831 | $57.34 |