0rr
0xd6b97cf7f22ab33dbddbfdd8433c329a7419d0c7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $500.6k
- Markets traded
- 544
- Open portfolio
- $614.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded544
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.650 | 0.675 | $402.98 | +$14.93 |
| Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.375 | $196.50 | +$86.46 |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.065 | $6.57 | −$11.61 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.185 | $3.33 | −$3.15 |
| Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.050 | $1.65 | −$3.63 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.215 | $1.50 | +$0.66 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · No | 0.610 | 0.595 | $0.59 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.545 | $0.55 | −$0.21 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.350 | $0.35 | −$0.21 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.060 | $0.18 | −$0.78 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.025 | $0.02 | −$0.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$367.92at 0.160Will Leavitt say "Obamacare" during the next White House press briefing?
- +$328.86at 0.280Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Score
- +$308.49at 0.610Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
- +$287.30at 0.590Will Trae Young be traded this season?
- +$236.50at 0.570Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 07:59 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $542.30 |
| 04-11 02:14 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $523.16 |
| 04-09 11:31 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | SELL | 0.55 | $234.85 |
| 04-07 08:00 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $102.48 |
| 03-31 02:43 | Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | SELL | 0.46 | $359.26 |
| 03-31 01:43 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | SELL | 0.6 | $48.60 |
| 03-30 16:56 | Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30? | SELL | 0.72 | $11.52 |
| 03-30 11:30 | Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | BUY | 0.69 | $55.89 |
| 03-30 09:54 | Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | BUY | 0.88 | $687.28 |
| 03-26 11:07 | Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 03-25 17:15 | Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal? | SELL | 0.68 | $756.84 |
| 03-25 03:43 | Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal? | BUY | 0.69 | $767.97 |
| 03-24 07:43 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.50 |
| 03-24 05:16 | Will Iran strike Oman again in March? | SELL | 0.47 | $401.38 |
| 03-24 05:14 | Will Iran strike Oman again in March? | SELL | 0.47 | $128.31 |