PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0rr

0xd6b97cf7f22ab33dbddbfdd8433c329a7419d0c7

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$500.6k
Markets traded
544
Open portfolio
$614.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded544
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5 · Under0.6500.675$402.98+$14.93
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · Yes0.2100.375$196.50+$86.46
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1800.065$6.57$11.61
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3600.185$3.33$3.15
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1600.050$1.65$3.63
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1200.215$1.50+$0.66
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · No0.6100.595$0.59$0.01
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.7600.545$0.55$0.21
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5600.350$0.35$0.21
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B? · Yes0.3200.060$0.18$0.78
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.5100.025$0.02$0.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 07:59Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$542.30
04-11 02:14Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.82$523.16
04-09 11:31Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?SELL0.55$234.85
04-07 08:00Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.24$102.48
03-31 02:43Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?SELL0.46$359.26
03-31 01:43Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL0.6$48.60
03-30 16:56Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?SELL0.72$11.52
03-30 11:30Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.69$55.89
03-30 09:54Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?BUY0.88$687.28
03-26 11:07Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?SELL0.31$15.50
03-25 17:15Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?SELL0.68$756.84
03-25 03:43Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?BUY0.69$767.97
03-24 07:43Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?SELL0.15$4.50
03-24 05:16Will Iran strike Oman again in March?SELL0.47$401.38
03-24 05:14Will Iran strike Oman again in March?SELL0.47$128.31
Trader 0rr · PolyBot