PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DoubleWIzard

0xd66d77527a947abc025dca62b8319a435fe5b64a

Realised P&L
$3.34
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$10.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1900.154$1.08−$0.25
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1100.123$0.86+$0.09
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.105$0.73+$0.17
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1400.100$0.70−$0.28
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · No0.1700.125$0.63−$0.23
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.1750.063$0.44−$0.79
Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? · No0.0540.023$0.42−$0.58
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.1900.058$0.41−$0.92
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.0940.029$0.34−$0.79
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0700.045$0.32−$0.17
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0500.080$0.32+$0.12
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0850.045$0.32−$0.28
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · Yes0.1600.045$0.31−$0.80
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.0500.030$0.30−$0.20
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.030$0.30−$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 14:20Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?SELL0.261$1.83
07-16 20:56Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.26$1.82
07-12 07:18Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$1.15
07-10 20:48Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.0827127831$5.66
07-02 19:31Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.1$0.70
07-02 17:39Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$1.15
07-01 17:04Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$0.65