PolyBot

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Traders

bittersahu

0xd5f92d441c9d0a5c91ceb5bdef263a874005308f

Realised P&L
$122.96
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$199.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.8600.945$94.50+$8.50
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0180.033$73.72+$32.96
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$26.00$38.00
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0040.005$5.24+$1.14
Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$3.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 01:49Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.0045313964$1.45
07-22 04:10Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.019$22.27
07-08 14:42Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.011$22.00
04-27 12:43Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?SELL0.811$15.45
04-03 22:01Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.001$0.73
04-03 22:01Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.002$2.44
04-03 03:16Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.024$8.43
04-02 21:20Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.041$1.64
04-02 21:20Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.0409473187$92.37
03-22 01:42Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?BUY0.31$9.30
03-22 01:42Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?BUY0.3049$30.49
03-22 01:41Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?SELL0.7036188248$27.06
03-06 23:47Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 3.5BUY0.64$16.00
03-06 13:26Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?SELL0.998$92.81
03-05 20:49Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?SELL0.583$34.40