A-Task17
0xd5e2e41a63db0fc8d9d67c3dd007d24456936078
- Realised P&L
- $-20.9k
- Volume
- $597.7k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$667.62at 0.222Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$33.72at 0.120US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$-149.89at 0.041Netanyahu out by April 30?
- +$-209.55at 0.150Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$-430.80at 0.098Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:32 | Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | BUY | 0.11 | $557.98 |
| 09-12 11:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.79 |
| 09-12 11:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $381.47 |
| 08-16 19:10 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $10.32 |
| 08-16 19:06 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 19:05 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.55 |
| 08-16 19:04 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $15.62 |
| 08-16 19:03 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.26 |
| 08-16 19:03 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.68 |
| 08-16 19:03 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $9.62 |
| 08-16 19:02 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $5.33 |
| 08-16 18:58 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.53 |
| 08-16 18:53 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.27 |
| 08-16 18:52 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $28.00 |
| 08-16 18:51 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $54.19 |