PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

A-Task17

0xd5e2e41a63db0fc8d9d67c3dd007d24456936078

Realised P&L
$-20.9k
Volume
$597.7k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes0.1100.105$1.1k$54.44
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1000.018$90.65$399.34
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0070.004$16.00$12.00
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0410.004$13.48$123.15
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$6.3k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 26? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00$741.42
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.2030.000$0.00$772.72
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$71.44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$282.73
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$1.0k
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30? · Yes0.3720.000$0.00$720.55
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$11.08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 26? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$423.95
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$974.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:32Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?BUY0.11$557.98
09-12 11:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$3.79
09-12 11:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$381.47
08-16 19:10Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.043$10.32
08-16 19:06Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.1$10.00
08-16 19:05Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.042$1.55
08-16 19:04Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.042$15.62
08-16 19:03Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.042$1.26
08-16 19:03Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.042$1.68
08-16 19:03Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.042$9.62
08-16 19:02Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.042$5.33
08-16 18:58Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.042$1.53
08-16 18:53Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.04$2.27
08-16 18:52Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.007$28.00
08-16 18:51Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.039$54.19