0xd4ff2f88e30a137e6205a3983ff1b50a1d82a7a8
0xd4ff2f88e30a137e6205a3983ff1b50a1d82a7a8
- Realised P&L
- $-7.81
- Volume
- $173.55
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $8.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.00at 0.339S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?
- +$1.86at 0.350US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 2?
- +$1.20at 0.460S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 07:09 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $336 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 23:09 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 15:07 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:06 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:04 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 07:08 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:53 | Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 17:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:02 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $191 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 09:19 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 18:40 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 10:12 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 00:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 14:07 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |