0xd4ff2f88e30a137e6205a3983ff1b50a1d82a7a8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.18
- Volume
- $29.17
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $9.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.805 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.770 | 1.000 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.740 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.900 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.330 | 0.380 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 5? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.870 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.715 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.600 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.370 | 0.165 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No | 0.260 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No | 0.320 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-0.02at 0.510New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$-1.00at 0.470Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 09:10 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 5? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 00:36 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:30 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 08:18 | Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 08:14 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $208 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:00 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 00:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 16:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 15:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 01:43 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 17:06 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |