Iskele
0xd461d05ede1a3a2105aad19f47239b85400deddc
- Realised P&L
- $-150.82
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $432.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.40at 0.502Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$30.39at 0.505St. Louis Cardinals vs. Houston Astros
- +$28.59at 0.231Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$25.68at 0.681Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
- +$18.19at 0.373Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 11:49 | Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.75 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 00:46 | QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4536904908 | $36.88 |
| 09-15 20:08 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $17.51 |
| 09-15 18:00 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.42 | $33.60 |
| 09-15 17:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4399999985 | $35.19 |
| 09-15 03:03 | Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $6.36 |
| 09-14 12:15 | APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.96 |
| 09-11 22:21 | Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1412862653 | $8.42 |
| 09-10 22:52 | Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | SELL | 0.37 | $30.17 |
| 09-10 03:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $61.52 |
| 09-05 11:51 | Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | BUY | 0.4414168899 | $36.00 |
| 09-04 01:28 | US recession by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $27.99 |
| 09-03 16:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $66.48 |
| 08-24 04:08 | Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.71 | $56.80 |
| 08-16 14:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $20.80 |