PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Iskele

0xd461d05ede1a3a2105aad19f47239b85400deddc

Realised P&L
$-150.82
Volume
$22.6k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$432.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7500.755$60.40+$0.40
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2800.815$57.05+$37.45
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.6700.545$49.79$11.42
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.525$34.05$14.59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4200.415$33.20$0.40
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? · No0.4400.540$32.40+$6.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4400.405$32.39$2.80
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8100.915$26.74+$3.07
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.2600.265$21.21+$0.40
Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? · Yes0.4200.460$20.70+$1.80
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.3900.280$19.60$7.70
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1200.175$15.17+$4.77
Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch? · Yes0.6200.595$14.88$0.63
Neutrl FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.5900.815$6.52+$1.80
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2400.065$4.55$12.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 11:49Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.75$60.00
09-16 00:46QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.4536904908$36.88
09-15 20:08US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.86$17.51
09-15 18:00Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.42$33.60
09-15 17:202026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4399999985$35.19
09-15 03:03Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.42$6.36
09-14 12:15APYX FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.29$6.96
09-11 22:21Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.1412862653$8.42
09-10 22:52Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?SELL0.37$30.17
09-10 03:25Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$61.52
09-05 11:51Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?BUY0.4414168899$36.00
09-04 01:28US recession by end of 2026?SELL0.92$27.99
09-03 16:18Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$66.48
08-24 04:08Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.71$56.80
08-16 14:20Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.26$20.80