PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

choclopolis

0xd4495013cbc99463aff64617da94c76b71a5450f

Realised P&L
$2.7k
Volume
$661.2k
Markets traded
422
Open portfolio
$12.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded422
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:25Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.26$65.00
11-01 21:56Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.26$65.00
11-01 20:12Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.74$185.00
11-01 19:11Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.72$180.00
10-31 11:20Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.31$77.50
10-31 00:47Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.55$137.50
10-30 20:46Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.33$82.50
10-30 16:13Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.45$112.50
10-30 15:33Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?SELL0.7$175.00
10-30 13:22Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.46$115.00
10-30 05:402026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.69$345.00
10-29 20:502026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.67$335.00
10-29 20:45Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.68$340.00
10-29 15:17Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.52$130.00
10-29 02:48Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7$175.00