0xd41B941e21cF0e4AA48983b2fDEb88aE1854128a-1777869040295
0xd41b941e21cf0e4aa48983b2fdeb88ae1854128a
- Realised P&L
- $-135.80
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $292.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.17at 0.933Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
- +$1.11at 0.914Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
- +$0.90at 0.689Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
- +$0.54at 0.781Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
- +$0.14at 0.988Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 09:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.76 | $47.12 |
| 08-15 09:49 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.7719999617 | $1.21 |
| 06-29 20:17 | Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan? | BUY | 0.326383185 | $39.65 |
| 06-29 20:15 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.794 | $26.96 |
| 06-29 20:14 | Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $13.15 |
| 05-27 02:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 00:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0209999896 | $2.00 |
| 05-19 00:19 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.93 |
| 05-12 08:07 | Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? | BUY | 0.9099999992 | $12.00 |
| 05-09 12:19 | Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 05-07 03:47 | Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9869999998 | $11.00 |
| 05-07 03:34 | Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $5.63 |
| 05-05 01:03 | Epstein suicide note released by May 31? | BUY | 0.7722771543 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 22:22 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $11.00 |
| 05-04 22:21 | Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0069999993 | $10.00 |