PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lymagics

0xd413f327a0ac4457e930dd99cb0f7346a121f838

Realised P&L
$-455.27
Volume
$38.7k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$38.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? · Yes0.1030.050$6.85$7.48
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.1300.055$6.35$8.65
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.0450.026$5.78$4.22
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.054$5.40$4.60
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0590.005$4.66$45.34
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0700.032$4.50$5.50
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0550.004$3.65$46.35
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0620.020$1.62$3.38
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$8.00
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? · Yes0.1680.000$0.00$6.48
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Real Madrid CF? · Yes0.3170.000$0.00$15.00
Robert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$15.00
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$15.00
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$71.00
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 20:38Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1299999929$15.00
07-11 21:06Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2324999787$8.00
07-09 21:35Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.025$5.00
07-03 21:56Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
06-27 15:12Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?BUY0.16$20.00
06-24 15:41Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?BUY0.1083809749$15.00
06-23 17:19Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$10.00
06-23 17:11Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5BUY0.0359999933$5.00
06-22 18:49Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?BUY0.025$10.00
06-21 23:33Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.0629999944$10.00
06-21 16:40Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerBUY0.4799999808$5.00
05-30 17:00Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?BUY0.16$17.00
05-22 08:15Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.1299999929$15.00
05-22 08:15Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?BUY0.019$15.00
05-19 18:32Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.2199999727$5.00