lymagics
0xd413f327a0ac4457e930dd99cb0f7346a121f838
- Realised P&L
- $-455.27
- Volume
- $38.7k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $38.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.54at 0.270Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?
- +$40.32at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$21.08at 0.192Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on March 6, 2026?
- +$17.61at 0.225Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
- +$16.35at 0.550Counter-Strike: fnatic vs B8 (BO1)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 20:38 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1299999929 | $15.00 |
| 07-11 21:06 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2324999787 | $8.00 |
| 07-09 21:35 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 21:56 | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 15:12 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 06-24 15:41 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | BUY | 0.1083809749 | $15.00 |
| 06-23 17:19 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 17:11 | Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.0359999933 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 18:49 | Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 23:33 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.0629999944 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 16:40 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 17:00 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.16 | $17.00 |
| 05-22 08:15 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999929 | $15.00 |
| 05-22 08:15 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $15.00 |
| 05-19 18:32 | Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |