PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD3dE95627dE3D2Cf37b6808E46749A9c7595e9Bd-1779261135644

0xd3de95627de3d2cf37b6808e46749a9c7595e9bd

Realised P&L
$23.58
Volume
$51.2k
Markets traded
775
Open portfolio
$534.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded775
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.5330.665$158.27+$31.28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.4860.355$90.83−$33.67
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · No0.8660.998$26.48+$3.48
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.920$17.13+$1.13
Will Roma reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal? · No0.8700.905$15.38+$0.59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.135$14.64−$10.31
Will Tre Tucker have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.2700.730$14.60+$9.20
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.7950.776$13.97−$0.34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3400.455$12.79+$3.23
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.4000.416$12.76+$0.49
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7000.895$12.60+$2.75
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6100.545$11.24−$1.34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2300.115$11.07−$11.07
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? · No0.8760.967$11.03+$1.03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7930.845$10.64+$0.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 21:51Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?SELL0.031$2.21
09-17 15:23Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?SELL0.044$1.75
09-15 18:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.986$17.39
09-14 23:25Will SC Braga win on 2026-09-14?SELL0.999$27.97
09-13 20:16Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.08$3.03
09-12 19:59OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.05$5.00
09-11 11:06Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.51$12.74
09-10 22:53Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?SELL0.19$5.64
09-10 21:11Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersSELL0.17$4.59
09-10 19:30Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia PhilliesSELL0.18$0.35
09-10 18:48Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Klim Sani4 (BO5) - EPL Masters PlayoffsSELL0.041$4.71
09-10 18:03Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta BravesSELL0.08$1.20
09-10 13:55Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.68$18.36
09-10 10:04Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.999$37.96
09-10 07:39Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5)SELL0.36$7.20