0xd3De5841D93c211EeDA91628127e84FED4B4FE0e-1770165147778
0xd3de5841d93c211eeda91628127e84fed4b4fe0e
- Realised P&L
- $-747.41
- Volume
- $162.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,802
- Open portfolio
- $11.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,802
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.31at 0.420Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-02-28?
- +$323.03at 0.376Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?
- +$315.50at 0.280Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
- +$280.97at 0.480Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28?
- +$215.53at 0.680Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 04:20 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 06-07 00:06 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 06-06 02:55 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $5.28 |
| 06-06 02:55 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $9.07 |
| 06-06 02:55 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $9.89 |
| 06-06 02:55 | Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.963 | $13.98 |
| 06-06 02:55 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.0700812678 | $13.80 |
| 06-06 02:46 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.83 | $1.34 |
| 06-06 02:46 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.90 |
| 06-06 02:46 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.699 | $1.85 |
| 06-06 02:46 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | SELL | 0.95 | $4.07 |
| 06-06 02:46 | Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.68 |
| 06-06 02:46 | Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.25 |
| 06-06 02:46 | Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.68 |
| 06-06 02:46 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.979 | $5.38 |