artand
0xd3cddd1db370ebfc2fb2075c5d1a08df71b31d27
- Realised P&L
- $-21.18
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $3.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.08at 0.800Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
- +$1.35at 0.690Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.31at 0.900Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?
- +$1.04at 0.492Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Dalibor Svrcina
- +$0.58at 0.950Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:10 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Dalibor Svrcina | SELL | 0.99 | $2.06 |
| 10-05 11:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:02 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:01 | Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:00 | West Indies Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s: Zimbabwe Women vs West Indies Women | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:59 | Samsun: Dalma Galfi vs Julia Grabher | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:57 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Dalibor Svrcina | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 10:53 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0134096914 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 10:52 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 10:51 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6899999425 | $3.00 |
| 06-30 09:38 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 09:35 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0033840948 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 09:35 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 09:32 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0166666667 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 09:26 | Macron out by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |