PolyBot

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Traders

Jormungandr88

0xd312ee222979444109999573bfc5de95282d7236

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$144.8k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1760.165$1.9k$127.01
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1000.115$172.50+$22.50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1500.065$43.33$56.67
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2300.019$2.85$31.65
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.5580.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? · No0.5200.000$0.00$15.60
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$20.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? · No0.6100.000$0.00$427.00
Will Trump say "State" 5+ times during Tele-Rally? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$51.00
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$100.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3340.000$0.00$835.99
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$60.00
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance · Croatia0.3200.000$0.00$10.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.5000.000$0.00$135.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.6600.000$0.00$396.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:49Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.085$325.22
07-19 21:31Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3349999997$400.00
07-19 20:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3824999997$500.00
07-19 20:33Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0188882442$60.00
07-18 23:44Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsBUY0.08$100.00
07-18 21:41Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4019999996$300.00
07-15 20:59Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3962199056$1.9k
07-15 20:57Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3888241217$1.3k
07-15 20:56England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.9434118031$1.3k
07-15 20:32England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2374999985$100.00
07-15 20:23England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2599999985$100.00
07-15 18:28England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4599999958$50.00
07-15 18:23England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4599999995$200.00
07-15 18:21Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.1615868567$305.59
07-14 22:20Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.19$95.00