Jormungandr88
0xd312ee222979444109999573bfc5de95282d7236
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $144.8k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$804.94at 0.344England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$705.72at 0.210Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
- +$464.71at 0.170Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
- +$322.10at 0.640US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$132.12at 0.326Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:49 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.085 | $325.22 |
| 07-19 21:31 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3349999997 | $400.00 |
| 07-19 20:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3824999997 | $500.00 |
| 07-19 20:33 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0188882442 | $60.00 |
| 07-18 23:44 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 21:41 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4019999996 | $300.00 |
| 07-15 20:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3962199056 | $1.9k |
| 07-15 20:57 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3888241217 | $1.3k |
| 07-15 20:56 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9434118031 | $1.3k |
| 07-15 20:32 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2374999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 20:23 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2599999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 18:28 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4599999958 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 18:23 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4599999995 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 18:21 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.1615868567 | $305.59 |
| 07-14 22:20 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $95.00 |