0xd309055388c52a50d90dafc764602d749b7ed769
0xd309055388c52a50d90dafc764602d749b7ed769
- Realised P&L
- $-769.93
- Volume
- $42.8k
- Markets traded
- 378
- Open portfolio
- $316.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded378
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.298 | $153.06 | +$116.66 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.305 | $73.22 | +$44.51 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.077 | $52.37 | +$3.19 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.285 | $33.82 | +$8.91 |
| Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 1? · Up | 0.560 | 0.450 | $3.74 | −$0.91 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.52 | −$3.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$114.44at 0.132Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?
- +$107.10at 0.345Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
- +$98.40at 0.238Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$34.17at 0.235Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on September 5?
- +$32.39at 0.372Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:52 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.5599999615 | $4.65 |
| 10-01 04:52 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 28 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.95 |
| 10-01 00:34 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999957 | $9.88 |
| 10-01 00:34 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 1? | SELL | 0.41 | $10.55 |
| 10-01 00:20 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2140540517 | $10.80 |
| 10-01 00:19 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? | SELL | 0.193 | $11.72 |
| 10-01 00:11 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.23 |
| 10-01 00:01 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.5499999942 | $14.15 |
| 09-30 17:21 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999977 | $2.91 |
| 09-30 17:21 | Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.066 | $3.20 |
| 09-30 16:35 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.1207865169 | $25.80 |
| 09-30 13:53 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 30? | SELL | 0.4870758889 | $27.53 |
| 09-30 11:00 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999995 | $7.84 |
| 09-30 10:51 | Will Micron (MU) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.0885233318 | $8.58 |
| 09-30 10:37 | Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.5999999931 | $17.51 |