0xd29518660cff3b7ad0b114069aaf44db2fab07d2
0xd29518660cff3b7ad0b114069aaf44db2fab07d2
- Realised P&L
- $-229.46
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $743.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.28at 0.190Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
- +$56.00at 0.220Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
- +$49.92at 0.240Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
- +$46.55at 0.270Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
- +$40.25at 0.250Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 11:46 | Next Israeli government a minority government? | SELL | 0.27 | $20.49 |
| 10-28 09:45 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $99.51 |
| 10-28 09:45 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.36 |
| 10-28 09:45 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $16.65 |