0xd26759210df7f1e99b47d721e1d43afaf920fd39
0xd26759210df7f1e99b47d721e1d43afaf920fd39
- Realised P&L
- $-1.74
- Volume
- $362.04
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $1.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $168 Week of October 19 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.740 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes | 0.499 | 0.023 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
- +$5.86at 0.261Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$5.09at 0.288S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$2.81at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 16:20 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $168 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 08:20 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 10:45 | Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 02:22 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.498999755 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 18:13 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 21:17 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:05 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:38 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:24 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 11:24 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:37 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:14 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 16:58 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:51 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |