PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AnyHow34

0xd24e4f03401ebcb1f65ea1470529754fa71827a9

Realised P&L
$-11.26
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$8.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.775$5.17+$0.17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0390.033$0.97−$0.19
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6700.095$0.71−$4.29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.029$0.62−$2.38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2900.145$0.50−$0.50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1650.027$0.33−$1.67
Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.045$0.18−$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 17:45Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.039$1.17
08-21 17:43Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?BUY0.625$5.00
08-21 17:37NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7499998875$5.00
08-21 17:35Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboSELL0.92$2.38
04-03 22:28Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.35$1.89
04-03 22:23Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3709999232$2.00
04-03 22:22Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
03-02 21:46Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?BUY0.7399999124$1.69
03-02 21:44Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.135$1.00
03-02 21:41Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?BUY0.4559999621$5.00
03-02 21:37US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
03-02 21:35Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899226245$3.00
03-02 21:34Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
03-02 20:43Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.8$5.33
03-02 20:42Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.53$1.63