0xD222ac4160bE5850C7fA435E7131d9e7cd47fDB5-1766006684362
0xd222ac4160be5850c7fa435e7131d9e7cd47fdb5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $106.6k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $946.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$506.06at 0.330Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$406.06at 0.330Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
- +$257.33at 0.404Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$121.83at 0.413Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$115.09at 0.323Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 19:40 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 17:52 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.2899999961 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 17:52 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 08-03 17:50 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:45 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 16:44 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 04:32 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 00:36 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0289999724 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 22:35 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999945 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 22:17 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? | BUY | 0.0396660122 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 22:16 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0289999724 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 22:16 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 22:15 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 22:15 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |