0xD222ac4160bE5850C7fA435E7131d9e7cd47fDB5-1766006684362
0xd222ac4160be5850c7fa435e7131d9e7cd47fdb5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $148.7k
- Markets traded
- 342
- Open portfolio
- $454.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded342
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$506.06at 0.330Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$406.06at 0.330Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
- +$225.04at 0.416Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$115.88at 0.424Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$107.19at 0.331Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 04:38 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 04:38 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 04:35 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1333333333 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 02:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 02:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 22:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.3456849078 | $69.93 |
| 09-17 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 22:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.2999999985 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.2999999985 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 15:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:12 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:10 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:09 | Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 15:09 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:08 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |