PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD222ac4160bE5850C7fA435E7131d9e7cd47fDB5-1766006684362

0xd222ac4160be5850c7fa435e7131d9e7cd47fdb5

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$148.7k
Markets traded
342
Open portfolio
$454.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded342
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2260.165$81.04$29.86
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? · Yes0.0530.029$77.48$60.98
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1500.115$69.19$21.31
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3490.366$37.78+$1.78
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2220.175$36.19$9.81
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4890.415$34.78$6.22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.0920.055$33.61$22.87
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2500.145$14.92$10.83
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1150.065$13.47$10.33
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1770.125$11.61$4.83
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1150.075$9.65$5.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · Yes0.5200.205$5.80$8.91
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3310.300$4.53$0.47
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0700.014$4.00$16.00
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1520.120$3.95$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 04:38Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.139999993$2.00
09-18 04:38Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.139999993$2.00
09-18 04:35Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.1333333333$1.00
09-18 02:40Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.4$10.00
09-18 02:20Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.5099999949$30.00
09-17 22:41Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?SELL0.3456849078$69.93
09-17 22:30Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.2899999968$20.00
09-17 22:25Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.2999999985$20.00
09-17 22:23Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.2999999985$20.00
09-17 15:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-17 15:12Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-17 15:10Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
09-17 15:09Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3099999954$2.00
09-17 15:09Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-17 15:08Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.4099999984$5.00