PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xD222ac4160bE5850C7fA435E7131d9e7cd47fDB5-1766006684362

0xd222ac4160be5850c7fa435e7131d9e7cd47fdb5

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$106.6k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$946.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes0.1390.115$156.40$33.10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2260.215$104.33$5.57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1330.055$98.48$139.49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2470.185$84.42$28.45
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? · Yes0.0530.029$76.16$62.29
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.2910.290$70.83$0.17
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0990.055$62.83$50.67
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1780.115$61.19$33.51
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes0.2160.040$42.70$190.95
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1290.105$39.18$8.82
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1160.065$37.98$30.02
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1630.090$34.24$27.75
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2550.150$14.55$10.20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5540.550$13.90$0.11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1150.090$11.58$3.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:41Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
08-03 19:40Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.2899999907$20.00
08-03 17:52Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.2899999961$50.00
08-03 17:52Iran full airspace closure by December 31?SELL0.37$18.50
08-03 17:50Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
08-03 16:45Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.4$20.00
08-03 16:44Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
08-02 04:32Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
08-02 00:36Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0289999724$1.00
08-01 22:35Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2599999945$30.00
08-01 22:17Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?BUY0.0396660122$1.00
08-01 22:16Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0289999724$1.00
08-01 22:16Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-01 22:15Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.1$4.00
08-01 22:15Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.0899999845$5.00