PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd2072009dfD4C2148c4B95B6D4596af8b2c89779-1759914080474

0xd2072009dfd4c2148c4b95b6d4596af8b2c89779

Realised P&L
$36.34
Volume
$83.1k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$935.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8500.970$581.70+$71.70
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9670.980$125.44+$1.66
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? · No0.9500.943$67.09−$0.52
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No0.8280.981$53.76+$8.37
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · No0.9770.970$30.07−$0.22
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No0.9690.950$28.39−$0.58
Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027? · No0.9550.941$28.21−$0.43
Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9870.981$20.83−$0.14
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$26.27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$56.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 09:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.94$188.00
10-23 09:35Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.977$30.29
10-23 09:34Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.969$28.97
10-23 09:32Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027?BUY0.955$28.65
10-23 09:31Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.987$20.96
10-23 09:27Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.033$1.16
10-23 09:27Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9717575758$64.14
10-23 09:27Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.996$796.80
09-17 14:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.994$795.20
09-17 14:47Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.967$123.78
09-17 14:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.53$54.06
09-17 14:46Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.978$64.55
09-17 14:43Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.6$21.00
09-17 14:28Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.956$764.80
09-17 14:27US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?SELL0.59$11.80