0xd2072009dfD4C2148c4B95B6D4596af8b2c89779-1759914080474
0xd2072009dfd4c2148c4b95b6d4596af8b2c89779
- Realised P&L
- $36.34
- Volume
- $83.1k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $935.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.850 | 0.970 | $581.70 | +$71.70 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.967 | 0.980 | $125.44 | +$1.66 |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.943 | $67.09 | −$0.52 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No | 0.828 | 0.981 | $53.76 | +$8.37 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.977 | 0.970 | $30.07 | −$0.22 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · No | 0.969 | 0.950 | $28.39 | −$0.58 |
| Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.955 | 0.941 | $28.21 | −$0.43 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.981 | $20.83 | −$0.14 |
| Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.27 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.67at 0.542Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$34.78at 0.855MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$20.80at 0.974Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$18.36at 0.810Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
- +$12.00at 0.940Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 09:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 10-23 09:35 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.977 | $30.29 |
| 10-23 09:34 | Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.969 | $28.97 |
| 10-23 09:32 | Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.955 | $28.65 |
| 10-23 09:31 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $20.96 |
| 10-23 09:27 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.033 | $1.16 |
| 10-23 09:27 | Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9717575758 | $64.14 |
| 10-23 09:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $796.80 |
| 09-17 14:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $795.20 |
| 09-17 14:47 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.967 | $123.78 |
| 09-17 14:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $54.06 |
| 09-17 14:46 | Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $64.55 |
| 09-17 14:43 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $21.00 |
| 09-17 14:28 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.956 | $764.80 |
| 09-17 14:27 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |