Ludiki
0xd1f171aeec13525098c04747ccbab150756073df
- Realised P&L
- $-6.74
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $0.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.043 | $0.42 | −$0.57 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.010 | $0.12 | −$2.88 |
| Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$0.96 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.09at 0.110Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.42at 0.298Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$0.56at 0.640Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30?
- +$0.37at 0.730US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$-1.00at 0.553Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 15:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 15:28 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3069998806 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 15:26 | Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 15:23 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 15:22 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 15:17 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3069998806 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 15:16 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0139999861 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 19:14 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 19:11 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 19:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 19:07 | Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 04-08 18:59 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $3.00 |
| 03-24 12:32 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 09:59 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 09:58 | Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | BUY | 0.5529998335 | $1.00 |