ctrainnn
0xd1540f27a5baa9370b559407fbac3c4b86bc3d37
- Realised P&L
- $-5.67
- Volume
- $965.69
- Markets traded
- 218
- Open portfolio
- $78.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded218
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.50at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?
- +$2.95at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?
- +$2.60at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?
- +$2.59at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 27?
- +$2.51at 0.535Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 11-02 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 11-02 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 11-02 02:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 11-02 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 11-02 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 11-02 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.5103703401 | $2.65 |
| 11-02 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 3? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 11-02 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 11-02 00:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 11-02 00:05 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 3? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 11-02 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 11-01 23:25 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 11-01 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.25 |
| 11-01 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 3? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |