PolyBot

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Traders

ctrainnn

0xd1540f27a5baa9370b559407fbac3c4b86bc3d37

Realised P&L
$-5.67
Volume
$965.69
Markets traded
218
Open portfolio
$78.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded218
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 02:10Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on November 3?BUY0.82$4.10
11-02 02:09Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2?SELL0.91$4.55
11-02 02:04Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?BUY0.53$2.65
11-02 02:03Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on November 3?SELL0.57$2.85
11-02 01:34Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on November 2?BUY0.54$2.70
11-02 01:34Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 3?BUY0.68$3.40
11-02 01:16Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.5103703401$2.65
11-02 01:16Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 3?SELL0.73$3.65
11-02 00:52Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 3?BUY0.75$3.75
11-02 00:51Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 2?SELL0.48$2.40
11-02 00:05Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 3?SELL0.49$2.45
11-02 00:02Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.5$2.50
11-01 23:25Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?SELL0.42$2.10
11-01 21:33Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on November 3?BUY0.64$3.25
11-01 21:33Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on November 3?SELL0.52$2.60