l3t0
0xd14aa86fa6cac2e09edd9944f5c0c0d48634a8ad
- Realised P&L
- $12.7k
- Volume
- $574.2k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $11.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.446Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$3.2kat 0.622Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.710Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$2.5kat 0.033Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$2.3kat 0.712Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3738689399 | $2.7k |
| 09-15 03:44 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $50.40 |
| 09-15 03:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1165234035 | $955.20 |
| 09-14 03:02 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.33 | $990.00 |
| 09-14 02:02 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.34 | $1.0k |
| 09-13 04:07 | Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? | SELL | 0.024431061 | $82.77 |
| 09-09 03:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.46 | $550.85 |
| 09-09 02:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.46 | $552.00 |
| 09-08 13:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $517.00 |
| 09-03 03:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.397 | $1.4k |
| 09-03 03:31 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $7.5k |
| 07-09 02:41 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $7.0k |
| 07-09 02:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $3.8k |
| 07-09 02:40 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | SELL | 0.9848415143 | $1.4k |
| 06-23 03:42 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.0k |