PolyBot

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Traders

l3t0

0xd14aa86fa6cac2e09edd9944f5c0c0d48634a8ad

Realised P&L
$12.7k
Volume
$784.9k
Markets traded
132
Open portfolio
$69.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded132
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6060.735$9.0k+$1.6k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8470.825$7.5k−$197.74
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.5920.835$5.7k+$1.7k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No0.6500.745$5.6k+$712.51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6330.705$5.4k+$558.20
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5900.705$5.0k+$816.56
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7830.922$4.8k+$719.97
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6930.745$4.7k+$329.54
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4250.425$4.1k+$1.80
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4320.403$3.4k−$252.39
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2900.525$3.3k+$1.5k
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? · Yes0.6570.615$2.8k−$194.08
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1760.255$2.3k+$705.51
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6600.667$1.8k+$20.25
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1470.137$1.4k−$105.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 02:44Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.66$1.3k
10-28 04:15Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.43$378.74
10-21 03:24Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.049$19.60
10-21 03:23Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.026$13.00
10-20 03:06Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.46$2.3k
10-20 03:04Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?BUY0.66$209.88
10-20 03:012026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.63$1.5k
10-16 03:02US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.69$138.00
10-16 03:00Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.16$496.00
10-16 01:37Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?SELL0.765$2.0k
10-14 10:45Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.16$704.00
10-13 02:152026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.62$1.0k
10-13 02:14Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.59$3.4k
10-13 00:57Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.89$885.53
10-11 01:30Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?BUY0.54$2.70