l3t0
0xd14aa86fa6cac2e09edd9944f5c0c0d48634a8ad
- Realised P&L
- $12.7k
- Volume
- $784.9k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $69.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.446Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$3.2kat 0.622Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.710Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$2.5kat 0.033Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$2.3kat 0.712Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 02:44 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.3k |
| 10-28 04:15 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $378.74 |
| 10-21 03:24 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.049 | $19.60 |
| 10-21 03:23 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.026 | $13.00 |
| 10-20 03:06 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.46 | $2.3k |
| 10-20 03:04 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | BUY | 0.66 | $209.88 |
| 10-20 03:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.63 | $1.5k |
| 10-16 03:02 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $138.00 |
| 10-16 03:00 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $496.00 |
| 10-16 01:37 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.765 | $2.0k |
| 10-14 10:45 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $704.00 |
| 10-13 02:15 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.62 | $1.0k |
| 10-13 02:14 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $3.4k |
| 10-13 00:57 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $885.53 |
| 10-11 01:30 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |