PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

R20t

0xd0c8eed6bbf0fdebc92775a58a6c05ad4649e944

Realised P&L
$-305.56
Volume
$294.5k
Markets traded
2,203
Open portfolio
$38.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,203
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.6000.993$4.96+$1.96
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5700.795$3.85+$1.09
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · No0.8900.946$3.79+$0.22
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · No0.5200.985$3.21+$1.52
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.981$3.11+$0.32
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.8900.980$2.49+$0.23
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0030.003$2.26−$0.45
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · No0.5250.900$2.06+$0.86
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · No0.6500.970$1.89+$0.62
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0030.002$1.74−$0.87
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.5700.435$1.42−$0.44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5600.355$1.25−$0.72
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? · No0.3650.260$1.14−$0.46
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-07 House seat? · Yes0.0600.970$1.05+$0.98
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.8550.987$1.05+$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 23:06Will Trump deport more than 1m people?SELL0.006$0.04
10-19 04:15Will Trump deport more than 1m people?SELL0.006$0.04
10-18 23:31Will Trump deport more than 1m people?SELL0.006$0.04
08-15 09:55Anthropic acquired before 2027?SELL0.021$0.26
08-12 09:45Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.44$4.27
08-11 20:28Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.51$4.58
08-08 18:55Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?SELL0.005$0.13
08-08 07:20Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?SELL0.19$1.57
06-26 17:24Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.37$6.47
06-24 19:36Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.37$4.66
06-24 13:35Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?SELL0.004$0.15
06-24 13:31Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL0.5$3.72
05-30 23:36Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.85$8.16
05-23 08:54Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?SELL0.009$0.20
05-22 05:36Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?SELL0.23$2.58