PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

R20t

0xd0c8eed6bbf0fdebc92775a58a6c05ad4649e944

Realised P&L
$-301.46
Volume
$294.7k
Markets traded
2,203
Open portfolio
$47.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,203
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.6000.976$4.87+$1.88
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8310.872$4.36+$0.20
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · No0.8900.981$3.93+$0.36
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · No0.5200.985$3.21+$1.52
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.982$3.12+$0.32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5700.515$2.50$0.27
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0030.003$2.47$0.49
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.8900.968$2.46+$0.20
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0030.003$2.17$0.43
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.5200.890$2.09+$0.87
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · No0.5250.845$1.93+$0.73
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · No0.6500.935$1.82+$0.55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3650.485$1.60+$0.40
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? · No0.3650.345$1.52$0.09
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.5700.395$1.29$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 09:55Anthropic acquired before 2027?SELL0.021$0.26
08-12 09:45Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.44$4.27
08-11 20:28Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.51$4.58
08-08 18:55Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?SELL0.005$0.13
08-08 07:20Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?SELL0.19$1.57
06-26 17:24Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.37$6.47
06-24 19:36Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.37$4.66
06-24 13:35Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?SELL0.004$0.15
06-24 13:31Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL0.5$3.72
05-30 23:36Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.85$8.16
05-23 08:54Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?SELL0.009$0.20
05-22 05:36Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?SELL0.23$2.58
05-20 03:01Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.7$3.50
05-19 22:28Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?SELL0.14$0.74
05-19 21:21Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.7$6.96