R20t
0xd0c8eed6bbf0fdebc92775a58a6c05ad4649e944
- Realised P&L
- $-301.46
- Volume
- $294.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,203
- Open portfolio
- $47.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,203
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.58at 0.200Rhode Island Rams vs. Yale Bulldogs
- +$47.85at 0.026Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
- +$42.19at 0.183Will Natus Vincere win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?
- +$28.76at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on December 23?
- +$26.17at 0.086Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 09:55 | Anthropic acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.26 |
| 08-12 09:45 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.27 |
| 08-11 20:28 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.51 | $4.58 |
| 08-08 18:55 | Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.13 |
| 08-08 07:20 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.57 |
| 06-26 17:24 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.37 | $6.47 |
| 06-24 19:36 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.37 | $4.66 |
| 06-24 13:35 | Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.15 |
| 06-24 13:31 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.72 |
| 05-30 23:36 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $8.16 |
| 05-23 08:54 | Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.20 |
| 05-22 05:36 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.58 |
| 05-20 03:01 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 05-19 22:28 | Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.74 |
| 05-19 21:21 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $6.96 |