PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

R20t

0xd0c8eed6bbf0fdebc92775a58a6c05ad4649e944

Realised P&L
$-305.11
Volume
$291.4k
Markets traded
2,203
Open portfolio
$50.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,203
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.5600.991$4.96+$2.15
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.6000.980$4.89+$1.90
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8310.913$4.57+$0.41
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · No0.8900.967$3.87+$0.31
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.964$3.06+$0.27
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat? · Yes0.1200.605$3.02+$2.42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5700.610$2.96+$0.19
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? · No0.5200.875$2.85+$1.16
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.8900.954$2.42+$0.16
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · No0.5250.845$1.93+$0.73
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.5200.784$1.84+$0.62
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? · No0.9570.978$1.76+$0.04
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · No0.6500.825$1.60+$0.34
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-10 House seat? · No0.3650.350$1.54$0.07
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.3650.390$1.29+$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 17:24Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.37$6.47
06-24 19:36Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.37$4.66
06-24 13:35Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?SELL0.004$0.15
06-24 13:31Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?SELL0.5$3.72
05-30 23:36Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.85$8.16
05-23 08:54Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?SELL0.009$0.20
05-22 05:36Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?SELL0.23$2.58
05-20 03:01Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.7$3.50
05-19 22:28Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?SELL0.14$0.74
05-19 21:21Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.7$6.96
05-19 09:30Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?SELL0.007$0.04
05-18 18:34Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?SELL0.854$5.50
05-17 13:29Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.4$5.96
05-16 15:40Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.75$4.57
05-14 11:21New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?SELL0.58$2.90
Trader R20t · PolyBot