Millhouse2026
0xd000b34af94379ec900f70679c5e1ba221d14d9c
- Realised P&L
- $-670.77
- Volume
- $39.2k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $156.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.41at 0.374Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?
- +$88.04at 0.516Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$70.53at 0.565Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$25.38at 0.660Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$16.74at 0.230Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 20:24 | New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.56 | $10.29 |
| 09-05 20:22 | Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.61 |
| 08-27 09:44 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3229998056 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 09:43 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1764476563 | $20.00 |
| 08-25 14:38 | Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next? | BUY | 0.0268735921 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 11:08 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 11:05 | Astana: Fajing Sun vs Semen Pankin | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 07:53 | Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? | BUY | 0.175420877 | $8.10 |
| 08-07 20:31 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $39.25 |
| 08-04 11:23 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.42 | $4.62 |
| 08-03 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.84 |
| 08-03 15:03 | Will FC Botoşani win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.46 |
| 08-03 15:02 | Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.12 | $2.49 |
| 07-30 09:03 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999842 | $9.81 |
| 07-29 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |