PolyBot

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Traders

Millhouse2026

0xd000b34af94379ec900f70679c5e1ba221d14d9c

Realised P&L
$-670.77
Volume
$39.2k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$156.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5150.925$77.76+$34.45
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.1760.494$56.05+$36.05
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1270.055$17.28$22.72
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.1140.026$2.28$7.72
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0470.004$1.49$18.51
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.3230.245$0.76$0.24
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0430.004$0.47$4.53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1700.038$0.39$1.31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$10.00
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$5.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.3900.000$0.00$20.00
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? · No0.5300.000$0.00$35.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$10.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 20:24New York Yankees vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.56$10.29
09-05 20:22Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?SELL0.52$10.61
08-27 09:44Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?BUY0.3229998056$1.00
08-27 09:43Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?BUY0.1764476563$20.00
08-25 14:38Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?BUY0.0268735921$5.00
08-12 11:08LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupBUY0.3699999771$10.00
08-12 11:05Astana: Fajing Sun vs Semen PankinBUY0.1$1.00
08-11 07:53Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?BUY0.175420877$8.10
08-07 20:31Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.77$39.25
08-04 11:23Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.42$4.62
08-03 15:05Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.43$4.84
08-03 15:03Will FC Botoşani win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.24$2.46
08-03 15:02Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 5.5BUY0.12$2.49
07-30 09:03Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.4299999842$9.81
07-29 08:26Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 29?BUY0.7099999702$5.00