PolyBot

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Traders

hnwdgf

0xcfca142138af18226c8c0462216c420370829722

Realised P&L
$9.9k
Volume
$154.9k
Markets traded
180
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded180
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7520.988$1.4k+$321.94
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6010.915$1.1k+$365.97
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.955$673.28+$102.23
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.935$374.00+$70.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.335$368.50+$16.50
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5480.465$236.88$42.68
Will Rodri stay at Manchester City? · No0.7770.825$222.61+$12.71
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6230.700$209.33+$22.95
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.7920.792$198.13+$0.13
Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad? · No0.7990.917$184.61+$23.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1160.075$141.61$77.95
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.4140.260$140.91$83.25
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5400.505$106.55$7.38
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4780.515$103.00+$7.43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.8600.981$98.10+$12.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:21Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?BUY0.71$21.29
08-04 00:02No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027BUY0.7$70.00
08-01 17:50Will Rodri stay at Manchester City?BUY0.82$16.40
07-31 17:14Will James Harden play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?BUY0.039$1.64
07-31 17:14Will James Harden play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?BUY0.039$1.48
07-30 16:19Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $138 in August?BUY0.98$19.60
07-30 15:58Will James Harden play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?BUY0.004$0.24
07-30 15:55Will Kawhi play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.011$0.82
07-30 15:53Will Kawhi play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?BUY0.0016187311$0.33
07-30 15:53Will Kawhi play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?BUY0.0020394269$1.00
07-30 13:31Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.058$17.40
07-30 13:31Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.05706102$57.06
07-30 12:14Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.52$52.00
07-30 12:10Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.54$35.10
07-26 20:41Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?BUY0.006$6.60