PolyBot

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Traders

Chaic

0xcf574664c702165e2040f45ed10a4862067dfc04

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
293
Open portfolio
$25.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded293
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9630.995$9.95+$0.32
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1960.221$4.41+$0.49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1210.105$2.64$0.38
ByteDance IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0400.085$2.53+$1.33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1680.080$1.67$1.86
Remote IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1400.055$0.66$1.02
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0800.033$0.58$0.85
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1200.035$0.57$1.35
Vanta IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1500.043$0.52$1.28
Waymo IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1000.030$0.46$1.04
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1300.035$0.35$0.95
Celonis IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1400.018$0.33$2.19
Brex IPO before 2027? · Yes0.0870.013$0.20$1.11
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1200.011$0.19$1.97
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 14:16Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.963$9.63
07-26 14:16Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.984$19.68
07-26 14:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$504.89
06-25 10:22Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.946$11.54
06-25 10:22Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY0.999$600.40
06-06 05:35Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$69.93
06-06 05:35Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$69.93
06-06 05:35Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$532.93
05-27 13:24Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?BUY0.999$11.99
05-27 13:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?BUY0.999$49.95
05-27 13:22Roland Garros WTA: Francesca Jones vs Marie BouzkovaBUY0.96$5.76
05-21 12:01Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.998$256.49
05-21 12:00Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.982$9.82
05-21 12:00Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.999$49.95
05-21 12:00Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.999$209.79