PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AnonymeD

0xced965ab1cd53c1d05558bbae30fc29446724e81

Realised P&L
$-6.38
Volume
$272.41
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$57.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8660.959$12.18+$1.18
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.1150.105$10.04$0.96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.775$6.05+$1.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.7800.925$5.93+$0.93
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.8720.452$5.70$5.30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · No0.9101.000$5.49+$0.49
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6200.930$1.50+$0.50
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1100.125$1.14+$0.14
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2400.105$1.12$1.44
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0390.041$1.05+$0.05
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9380.957$1.02+$0.02
Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9700.958$0.99$0.01
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9650.948$0.98$0.02
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.7500.735$0.98$0.02
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.5800.565$0.97$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 15:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$5.00
07-24 15:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.91$5.00
07-24 15:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7799999813$5.00
07-24 15:42Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.8613860704$10.00
07-24 15:39Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1155290169$10.00
07-24 15:36Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-24 15:36Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3409998124$1.00
07-24 15:34US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
07-21 21:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.988$9.88
07-21 21:20Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.89$4.45
06-21 20:32Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
06-21 20:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.6$6.00
06-21 20:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.87$4.35
06-21 19:46Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.8719999911$11.00
06-21 19:37Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.53$2.65