TooPoorRightNow
0xcec86dfa6e8b80d206db20bc9d04b6cba5bc6c77
- Realised P&L
- $-644.01
- Volume
- $108.7k
- Markets traded
- 441
- Open portfolio
- $112.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded441
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.94at 0.652FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5
- +$74.15at 0.338Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$71.87at 0.350Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?
- +$63.00at 0.395Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
- +$50.70at 0.654Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-06 16:28 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1199999146 | $1.18 |
| 03-06 16:28 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.08 |
| 03-06 16:22 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in February? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 03-06 16:21 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1199999225 | $1.30 |
| 03-06 16:21 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in February? | BUY | 0.0339999733 | $1.20 |
| 03-06 16:21 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in February? | BUY | 0.0339999812 | $1.71 |
| 03-06 16:20 | Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0339999761 | $1.34 |
| 03-06 16:17 | Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0210000003 | $1.60 |
| 03-06 16:15 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | BUY | 0.3499998218 | $1.08 |
| 03-06 16:15 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0269999827 | $1.48 |
| 03-06 16:10 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.129999928 | $1.48 |
| 03-06 15:44 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.129999928 | $1.48 |
| 02-24 01:42 | Will Solana dip to $50 in February? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.10 |
| 02-22 16:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 22? | BUY | 0.0269999827 | $1.48 |
| 02-22 16:22 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | SELL | 0.333 | $0.79 |