PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCeA174D48370c028B35D3c1432B4bF79539D0678-1772055546366

0xcea174d48370c028b35d3c1432b4bf79539d0678

Realised P&L
$-159.92
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$50.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.035$23.67+$13.67
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.285$7.50$2.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.4800.165$6.87$13.13
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1000.125$6.25+$1.25
SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement? · Yes0.4070.180$4.42$5.58
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2500.065$1.30$3.70
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$5.00
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? · No0.0190.000$0.00$5.00
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$2.00
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$5.00
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-20 18:12Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.25$5.00
05-20 18:09Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
05-19 21:36Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?BUY0.64$10.00
05-16 21:30Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.001$3.00
05-16 21:30Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0709999647$2.00
05-16 21:29Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0699999797$3.00
04-24 14:53Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?BUY0.035999983$2.00
04-16 19:27Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.15$6.00
04-11 10:45Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?BUY0.0189999963$5.00
04-03 22:43Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?SELL0.234$4.68
04-01 19:41Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.6499999675$5.00
04-01 19:39Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.0310000005$2.00
04-01 19:39Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.0599999724$2.00
04-01 19:31Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?BUY0.25$5.00
04-01 19:31Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?SELL0.7549019608$15.40