PolyBot

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Traders

0xce29847e9fa60650a120ff5bc1befd1bddee4b3f

0xce29847e9fa60650a120ff5bc1befd1bddee4b3f

Realised P&L
$-104.93
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
138
Open portfolio
$19.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded138
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9430.972$2.24+$0.06
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9640.979$2.01+$0.03
Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027? · No0.9700.967$1.97−$0.01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8520.966$1.24+$0.15
Will edgeX reach $2.50 before 2027? · No0.8900.950$1.16+$0.07
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.9200.955$1.13+$0.04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.8930.915$1.12+$0.03
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8800.895$1.11+$0.02
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9740.981$1.10+$0.01
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.9320.935$1.09+$0.00
Will AVAX dip to $3 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.950$1.09+$0.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8490.845$1.09−$0.01
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · No0.7800.780$1.08+$0.00
Will BNB reach $1200 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.910$1.04−$0.05
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8490.702$0.89−$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 11:59Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-21?SELL0.11953125$0.61
10-21 11:59Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.9699998751$4.97
10-19 19:13Will Dolomiti Bellunesi win on 2026-10-19?BUY0.99$4.97
10-19 17:04Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19?SELL0.99$4.55
10-19 16:39Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19?BUY0.8599998436$3.96
10-06 19:02Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?SELL0.5$6.49
10-04 09:15Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.7599999938$9.86
09-30 20:14Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?SELL0.999$2.06
09-29 12:45Will England win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.5099999832$9.73
09-29 12:34Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.43$9.69
09-29 05:17Jingshan: Alexandra Shubladze vs Rina SaigoSELL0.992$1.17
09-29 05:11Jingshan: Alexandra Shubladze vs Rina SaigoBUY0.92$1.09
09-26 10:182026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseSELL0.988$1.08
09-21 22:03Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.64$1.31
09-21 03:55Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4299999947$9.69