0xcddBf683A1f62D51b8B8a55d5311A83D58aA17E9-1769905418311
0xcddbf683a1f62d51b8b8a55d5311a83d58aa17e9
- Realised P&L
- $-22.97
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $2.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.66at 0.065Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$8.38at 0.058Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
- +$6.67at 0.070MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.55at 0.220Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.10at 0.014Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 20:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 20:40 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 20:38 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5974998193 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 16:53 | Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.0425742576 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 23:39 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 23:37 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 00:32 | Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO? | BUY | 0.0989999118 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 00:23 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? | BUY | 0.9609997223 | $3.00 |
| 06-04 18:38 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3905105926 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 22:58 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 05-29 18:03 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $1.82 |
| 05-28 02:21 | Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 05-14 20:26 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.737 | $1.53 |
| 05-09 14:52 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.632 | $1.90 |
| 05-08 17:15 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.449 | $0.90 |