PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xcddBf683A1f62D51b8B8a55d5311A83D58aA17E9-1769905418311

0xcddbf683a1f62d51b8b8a55d5311a83d58aa17e9

Realised P&L
$-22.97
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$2.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 20:41Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.32$1.00
07-18 20:40Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.52$1.00
07-18 20:38Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974998193$1.00
06-15 16:53Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?BUY0.0425742576$1.00
06-12 23:39Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.64$1.00
06-12 23:37Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?BUY0.96$1.00
06-08 00:32Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?BUY0.0989999118$1.00
06-08 00:23SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?BUY0.9609997223$3.00
06-04 18:38Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3905105926$1.00
06-03 22:58Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?BUY0.11$1.10
05-29 18:03US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL0.8$1.82
05-28 02:21Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by June 30?BUY0.1$1.00
05-14 20:26MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.737$1.53
05-09 14:52MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.632$1.90
05-08 17:15MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.449$0.90