0xCd8A8E6dd7dB6C217F323Cb821995A13FfB5c1Fd-1780483980204
0xcd8a8e6dd7db6c217f323cb821995a13ffb5c1fd
- Realised P&L
- $-36.55
- Volume
- $621.16
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $82.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.520 | 0.865 | $33.27 | +$13.27 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No | 0.540 | 0.855 | $15.83 | +$5.83 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.625 | $11.79 | +$1.79 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $8.33 | −$1.67 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.095 | $7.92 | −$2.08 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.471 | 0.503 | $5.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.188 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.39at 0.245Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.33at 0.600US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
- +$-10.11at 0.647Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$-10.11at 0.627Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
- +$-13.04at 0.296World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 22:43 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4709999614 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 22:42 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 22:41 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 22:39 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 22:36 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 22:37 | Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $41.62 |
| 06-27 10:54 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2169999807 | $7.38 |
| 06-27 10:54 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.59 |
| 06-03 14:11 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 06-03 14:08 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.6479999997 | $20.00 |
| 06-03 13:33 | Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 13:29 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 06-03 13:28 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 13:27 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 13:26 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |