PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCd8A8E6dd7dB6C217F323Cb821995A13FfB5c1Fd-1780483980204

0xcd8a8e6dd7db6c217f323cb821995a13ffb5c1fd

Realised P&L
$-36.55
Volume
$621.16
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$82.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.865$33.27+$13.27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5400.855$15.83+$5.83
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5300.625$11.79+$1.79
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.125$8.33−$1.67
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1200.095$7.92−$2.08
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4710.503$5.34+$0.34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00−$17.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-16 22:43Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4709999614$5.00
08-16 22:42Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5299999899$10.00
08-16 22:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.599999976$5.00
08-16 22:39Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
08-16 22:36Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
07-19 22:37Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$41.62
06-27 10:54Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2169999807$7.38
06-27 10:54World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?SELL0.11$7.59
06-03 14:11Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999938$20.00
06-03 14:08Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.6479999997$20.00
06-03 13:33Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
06-03 13:29World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?BUY0.2899999907$20.00
06-03 13:28US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5399999903$10.00
06-03 13:27Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.64$10.00
06-03 13:26Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?BUY0.6199999864$10.00