0xcd73A8Ee83C9E3970b703a79dF3C501C0E53D2E6-1759933163092
0xcd73a8ee83c9e3970b703a79df3c501c0e53d2e6
- Realised P&L
- $-19.70
- Volume
- $55.5k
- Markets traded
- 157
- Open portfolio
- $34.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded157
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.72at 0.830Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.84at 0.357Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$1.80at 0.820Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.77at 0.013Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.91at 0.527Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 08:58 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.8499997025 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:58 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.9199995952 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 08:57 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:57 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.8899996084 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:57 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 08:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 12:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 12:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8899994126 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 12:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8939999964 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 12:10 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.9399999906 | $4.00 |
| 08-28 12:09 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 12:09 | Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 12:09 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |