0xcD1E3f52dfa06C063EBc16BcA1891E5bAf41862e-1780842650868
0xcd1e3f52dfa06c063ebc16bca1891e5baf41862e
- Realised P&L
- $-544.69
- Volume
- $93.4k
- Markets traded
- 352
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded352
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.968 | $857.82 | +$104.57 |
| Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.400 | $246.71 | −$98.68 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $140 | 0.184 | 0.735 | $92.33 | +$69.13 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 24? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.979 | $26.43 | +$8.61 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.990 | $23.05 | +$4.42 |
| Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.745 | $6.09 | +$2.00 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.299 | 0.035 | $4.64 | −$34.46 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.740 | 0.765 | $3.83 | +$0.13 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 15? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.94 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.11 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 2? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.53 |
| Will Solana reach $110 in September? · No | 0.304 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$788.51at 0.472Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?
- +$539.27at 0.516Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 2?
- +$521.61at 0.620Will Solana dip to $70 in July?
- +$476.92at 0.677Will Solana dip to $100 in August?
- +$469.62at 0.071Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 08:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 24? | BUY | 0.66 | $17.82 |
| 09-14 22:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 15? | SELL | 0.21 | $5.88 |
| 08-11 22:32 | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | SELL | 0.34 | $51.22 |
| 08-11 22:32 | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | SELL | 0.35 | $11.90 |
| 08-11 03:31 | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | SELL | 0.360039759 | $59.77 |
| 08-09 02:40 | Will Solana dip to $70 in August? | SELL | 0.38 | $228.00 |
| 08-04 17:14 | Will Solana reach $75 on August 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 08-03 02:11 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.015 | $4.50 |
| 08-02 12:38 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.019 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 12:38 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.0192396 | $1.92 |
| 07-28 15:30 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.25 | $19.50 |
| 07-28 10:23 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.57 | $63.27 |
| 07-28 08:30 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-28 08:21 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 08:21 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |