0xcD1E3f52dfa06C063EBc16BcA1891E5bAf41862e-1780842650868
0xcd1e3f52dfa06c063ebc16bca1891e5baf41862e
- Realised P&L
- $-565.98
- Volume
- $88.5k
- Markets traded
- 342
- Open portfolio
- $721.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded342
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $70 in August? · Yes | 0.796 | 0.685 | $651.19 | −$105.64 |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $140 | 0.184 | 0.229 | $28.78 | +$5.58 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.925 | $21.54 | +$2.91 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.299 | 0.114 | $14.84 | −$24.26 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.740 | 0.790 | $3.95 | +$0.25 |
| Will Solana reach $90 in August? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.125 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$792.59at 0.469Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 3?
- +$551.34at 0.510Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 2?
- +$538.48at 0.620Will Solana dip to $70 in July?
- +$473.54at 0.068Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 5?
- +$313.72at 0.523Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:11 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.015 | $4.50 |
| 08-02 12:38 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.019 | $1.25 |
| 08-02 12:38 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.0192396 | $1.92 |
| 07-28 15:30 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 27-August 2? | SELL | 0.25 | $19.50 |
| 07-28 10:23 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.57 | $63.27 |
| 07-28 08:30 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 07-28 08:21 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 08:21 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 07-28 06:54 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.62 | $168.24 |
| 07-25 16:41 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.6512612613 | $216.87 |
| 07-25 16:41 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 07-25 16:40 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 20-26? | SELL | 0.055 | $2.20 |
| 07-25 02:22 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | SELL | 0.63 | $139.86 |
| 07-23 19:19 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 20-26? | SELL | 0.074 | $4.07 |
| 07-23 19:19 | Will Solana dip to $70 July 20-26? | SELL | 0.074 | $7.40 |