Harvinchristophergalit
0xccd508a7c76b2b217459f87e8945a75851dc1d94
- Realised P&L
- $11.67
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $585.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat? · Yes | 0.876 | 0.920 | $364.31 | +$17.30 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.770 | 0.817 | $169.99 | +$9.56 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.488 | 0.637 | $50.43 | +$11.83 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.274 | 0.403 | $0.48 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.46at 0.875Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
- +$15.00at 0.947Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- +$0.91at 0.945Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
- +$-2.46at 0.061Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
- +$-3.97at 0.078Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 19:46 | Will Hunter Biden be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.9884512295 | $361.77 |
| 09-19 19:07 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4879999979 | $38.60 |
| 09-13 20:12 | Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.9360607647 | $95.05 |
| 09-11 19:50 | Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat? | SELL | 0.92 | $94.76 |
| 09-11 15:58 | Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | SELL | 0.0381176471 | $3.24 |
| 08-26 19:41 | Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.72 |
| 08-23 03:49 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.7705588817 | $160.43 |
| 08-22 21:25 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.16 | $41.28 |
| 08-22 21:24 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.1654060172 | $57.73 |
| 08-22 18:56 | Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.9526216667 | $57.16 |
| 08-14 17:34 | Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.955 | $19.10 |
| 08-14 17:09 | Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.955 | $19.10 |
| 08-14 01:52 | Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? | SELL | 0.955 | $6.68 |
| 08-10 04:56 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | SELL | 0.0433344737 | $1.65 |
| 08-07 20:57 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.16 | $97.22 |