qizhan1
0xcb84e2d4354beebe199ab57c5a51e0ee96914fbc
- Realised P&L
- $6.8k
- Volume
- $2.98M
- Markets traded
- 622
- Open portfolio
- $15.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded622
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.716Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$5.3kat 0.543Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$4.7kat 0.860US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$4.6kat 0.970Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$4.1kat 0.824France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 10:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.62 | $792.18 |
| 09-27 12:35 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.0k |
| 09-27 12:34 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.85 | $3.1k |
| 09-19 20:21 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.015 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 19:05 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 09-19 14:02 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2454553848 | $453.03 |
| 09-19 10:11 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.75 | $936.03 |
| 09-19 10:10 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.1k |
| 09-19 09:52 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.75 | $427.00 |
| 09-16 07:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.80 |
| 09-16 07:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $73.66 |
| 09-14 17:58 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.9k |
| 09-14 14:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $702.34 |
| 09-14 00:24 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.8k |
| 09-13 12:06 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $500.20 |