0xCB6FE95945a468AB6BCC4b6294e7aF98Cd54317f-1778487048226
0xcb6fe95945a468ab6bcc4b6294e7af98cd54317f
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $67.5k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $605.92
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.8kat 0.275US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$280.51at 0.198Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$73.78at 0.296Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 19?
- +$60.83at 0.779Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?
- +$57.92at 0.603US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:51 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.7569999919 | $17.43 |
| 11-01 11:12 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | BUY | 0.992 | $19.84 |
| 11-01 11:10 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $29.10 |
| 11-01 11:07 | Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $28.65 |
| 11-01 10:57 | Will any other model be the best AI model on November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.76 |
| 11-01 10:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 10-30 10:18 | Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $8.60 |
| 10-30 10:17 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 10-30 10:17 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 29? | BUY | 0.977 | $9.77 |
| 10-30 00:29 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by October 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $12.80 |
| 10-30 00:23 | Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | BUY | 0.82 | $164.00 |
| 10-30 00:21 | Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 10-30 00:20 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 10-30 00:19 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 10-30 00:15 | Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $48.50 |