mdja
0xcadaa6aa384804e9ad29902fcf4c24f22521f5fc
- Realised P&L
- $241.46
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $35.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$351.80at 0.015Will XRP reach $1.40 in August?
- +$6.23at 0.253Will Zcash reach $1200 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.229Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 4?
- +$-0.28at 0.726Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$-5.49at 0.010Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.0109306342 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.0186250955 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0155037257 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0108609079 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:57 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.0016248326 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 18:00 | Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:33 | Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.0579999977 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:33 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 22:02 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.035 | $5.00 |
| 10-29 21:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0279999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 21:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 October 26-November 1? | BUY | 0.0139999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 20:50 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 19:06 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in October? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-27 22:12 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |