turbolink
0xcac001e18949c64e9711b29076b46aedde747251
- Realised P&L
- $-195.75
- Volume
- $23.3k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $349.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.50at 0.199Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$80.00at 0.200Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$36.53at 0.123Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$1.46at 0.775Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 06:39 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.031 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 06:37 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1179999991 | $15.00 |
| 10-26 06:37 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0879999997 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 06:37 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 06:36 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1269999992 | $15.00 |
| 10-24 11:50 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 10-24 11:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1989999991 | $20.00 |
| 10-24 11:50 | Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 11:49 | Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0467916522 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 11:49 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-24 11:48 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-24 11:48 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5379999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-24 11:47 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-24 11:47 | France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0789999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 11:45 | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |