planktonxdsuck
0xca7627e72616b4362c388d8c3e74ffc7936fc885
- Realised P&L
- $-690.25
- Volume
- $103.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,134
- Open portfolio
- $2.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,134
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.07at 0.030Spread: FC Gintra-Universitetas (-2.5)
- +$24.84at 0.240Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?
- +$16.57at 0.090Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?
- +$13.99at 0.670Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
- +$8.27at 0.192Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 04:55 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? | SELL | 0.051 | $0.04 |
| 09-22 10:16 | Will William Ruger be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.02 |
| 09-19 16:42 | Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 09-19 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.06 |
| 09-19 14:32 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.02 |
| 09-18 08:00 | Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.035 | $0.03 |
| 09-17 14:14 | Will United Russia win the next Orenburg Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.08 |
| 09-17 13:01 | Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-16 21:16 | Will United Russia win the next Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.03 |
| 09-16 08:33 | Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-16 04:17 | Will United Russia win the next Tver Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.03 |
| 09-15 18:27 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.12 |
| 09-15 17:27 | Will United Russia win the next Stavropol Krai Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.07 |
| 09-15 16:16 | Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | SELL | 0.053 | $0.04 |
| 09-15 12:17 | Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.16 |