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Traders

0xca6e53a606d825d2312a86c1a5dcc4c1e6eb73e8

Realised P&L
$-932.10
Volume
$118.9k
Markets traded
329
Open portfolio
$316.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded329
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.7271.000$55.22+$15.08
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3860.459$51.50+$8.20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2550.250$26.07$0.53
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2261.000$24.37+$18.87
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7320.835$17.08+$2.10
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.5350.997$15.27+$7.07
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9600.958$12.48$0.03
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Yes0.0050.004$10.45$5.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2780.455$6.80+$2.65
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.9090.285$6.70$14.70
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.8250.957$6.63+$0.91
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.3590.715$6.21+$3.09
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · No0.8820.988$6.12+$0.65
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1740.085$5.11$5.33
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5100.445$4.81$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:13Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-04 04:13Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-04 04:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 23:45US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.539999893$2.12
08-03 22:45Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.99799901$1.00
08-03 12:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.2$85.59
08-03 11:14Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-03 07:03Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:03Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:02Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.003$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.02$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.005$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.004$1.00
08-03 07:01Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.0041813012$1.00
08-03 07:00Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.005$1.00
Trader 0xca6e…73e8 · PolyBot