0xca6e53a606d825d2312a86c1a5dcc4c1e6eb73e8
- Realised P&L
- $-932.10
- Volume
- $118.9k
- Markets traded
- 329
- Open portfolio
- $316.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded329
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$534.38at 0.238US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$425.00at 0.234US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$191.58at 0.793US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$103.42at 0.287Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
- +$68.70at 0.042US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:13 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:13 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 04:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 23:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.539999893 | $2.12 |
| 08-03 22:45 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.99799901 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 12:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $85.59 |
| 08-03 11:14 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:03 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:03 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:02 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.0041813012 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 07:00 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |