PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCa3e9839fCDa4b715379c8DEc4B76Ce1D3fa0986-1789273109108

0xca3e9839fcda4b715379c8dec4b76ce1d3fa0986

Realised P&L
$12.21
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.4890.487$880.77$2.09
Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No0.6720.640$100.86$5.01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.265$73.07+$6.89
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.295$54.33$0.92
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? · Yes0.0480.079$40.95+$15.68
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0600.045$7.03$2.34

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 12:50Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$66.18
09-15 12:48Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?BUY0.6717899039$105.87
09-15 12:41Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?BUY0.0484421093$25.27
09-15 12:31Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4879999998$514.76
09-13 23:27Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2999999975$23.68
09-13 19:30Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2999999981$31.57
09-13 15:07Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.0599999999$9.37
09-13 15:00Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4870585826$51.42
09-13 13:22Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4899999996$316.69