0xCa3e9839fCDa4b715379c8DEc4B76Ce1D3fa0986-1789273109108
0xca3e9839fcda4b715379c8dec4b76ce1d3fa0986
- Realised P&L
- $547.75
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $5.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.69at 0.683Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?
- +$-5.91at 0.062Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 17:47 | Will Chelsea finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.66 | $20.46 |
| 10-16 17:47 | Will Chelsea finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.69 | $20.12 |
| 10-16 17:39 | Will Chelsea finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.6755129782 | $26.09 |
| 10-16 17:39 | Will Chelsea finish in the top 2 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.6699999922 | $25.85 |
| 10-16 17:32 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.063 | $0.01 |
| 10-12 16:55 | Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? | SELL | 0.7289171975 | $114.44 |
| 09-21 15:02 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4990162391 | $280.95 |
| 09-21 14:37 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5036328379 | $113.18 |
| 09-21 14:34 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5007251326 | $588.29 |
| 09-21 14:32 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3099999999 | $237.41 |
| 09-21 14:30 | Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.6752886598 | $65.50 |
| 09-21 14:29 | Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.676 | $14.87 |
| 09-21 14:28 | Will Rick Devens come in third-place on Big Brother season 28? | SELL | 0.676 | $9.46 |
| 09-19 19:08 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999997 | $421.87 |
| 09-19 19:06 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4879999994 | $102.95 |