0xCa3e9839fCDa4b715379c8DEc4B76Ce1D3fa0986-1789273109108
0xca3e9839fcda4b715379c8dec4b76ce1d3fa0986
- Realised P&L
- $12.21
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.489 | 0.487 | $880.77 | −$2.09 |
| Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? · No | 0.672 | 0.640 | $100.86 | −$5.01 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.265 | $73.07 | +$6.89 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.295 | $54.33 | −$0.92 |
| Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.079 | $40.95 | +$15.68 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.045 | $7.03 | −$2.34 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:50 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $66.18 |
| 09-15 12:48 | Will Notre Dame Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game? | BUY | 0.6717899039 | $105.87 |
| 09-15 12:41 | Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.0484421093 | $25.27 |
| 09-15 12:31 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4879999998 | $514.76 |
| 09-13 23:27 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999975 | $23.68 |
| 09-13 19:30 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999981 | $31.57 |
| 09-13 15:07 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $9.37 |
| 09-13 15:00 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4870585826 | $51.42 |
| 09-13 13:22 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $316.69 |