PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fabiocabralgoes

0xca3dd930fbf6e966002c01e4b7d58be5ad099495

Realised P&L
$-8.74
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$78.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4380.115$33.03−$92.91
Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? · Yes0.4390.435$17.84−$0.16
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7870.905$3.24+$0.42
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.4470.245$2.69−$2.22
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.7390.962$2.45+$0.57
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7300.765$2.10+$0.10
Will US annex any territory in 2026? · No0.8640.962$2.03+$0.21
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-18? · Yes0.6330.425$2.02−$0.98
Will Flamengo win the 2027 Copa Libertadores? · Yes0.2500.245$1.96−$0.04
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.6100.585$1.92−$0.08
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-19? · Yes0.7400.575$1.55−$0.45
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-17? · Yes0.4700.325$1.38−$0.62
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8700.970$1.11+$0.11
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.6400.675$1.05+$0.05
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? · No0.6600.675$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 11:52Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores?BUY0.4399999947$10.00
10-09 09:05Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-09 09:04Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A?BUY0.69999972$1.00
10-09 09:03Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores?BUY0.4372670699$8.00
10-09 09:02Will Flamengo win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?BUY0.25$2.00
10-09 09:01Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-19?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-09 09:01Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.59999994$2.00
10-09 09:00Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.469999906$2.00
10-09 09:00Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-09 09:00Will SE Palmeiras vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-09 08:59Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-09 08:59Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.64$1.00
10-09 00:52Will SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-07 22:52Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-19?BUY0.75$1.00
10-07 22:52Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.7099998509$1.00