fabiocabralgoes
0xca3dd930fbf6e966002c01e4b7d58be5ad099495
- Realised P&L
- $-8.74
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $78.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.89at 0.293Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.78at 0.737Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
- +$1.30at 0.794Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.26at 0.522Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
- +$1.19at 0.593Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 11:52 | Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 09:05 | Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:04 | Will Flamengo win Brazil Série A? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:03 | Will Flamengo win Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.4372670699 | $8.00 |
| 10-09 09:02 | Will Flamengo win the 2027 Copa Libertadores? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 09:01 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:01 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 09:00 | Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 09:00 | Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:00 | Will SE Palmeiras vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:59 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 08:59 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:52 | Will SE Palmeiras vs. EC Bahia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 22:52 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 22:52 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |