PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

J8N

0xc9ca0e39eaa8fbbf19dc4e9160882bd43aa56cca

Realised P&L
$-11.37
Volume
$403.12
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$49.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7501.000$33.33+$8.33
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9550.989$7.36+$0.25
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.2800.520$5.57+$2.57
EU dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0580.017$1.00−$2.50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4700.045$0.96−$9.04
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.3100.040$0.90−$6.10
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1900.041$0.64−$2.36
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1600.017$0.21−$1.79
Macron out by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? · Yes0.6790.000$0.00−$10.00
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-08 19:57Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9549999987$7.11
01-20 09:03China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1899999569$3.00
01-20 09:02Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.16$2.00
01-20 09:02EU dissolves before 2027?BUY0.057999985$3.50
01-20 08:57Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2899999478$3.00
01-14 16:31Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999912$15.00
01-13 14:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4699999915$10.00
01-05 22:22Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.2799999515$3.00
01-05 22:21Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.3099999717$7.00
01-05 22:20Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.1299999859$7.00
01-05 21:47Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?BUY0.6789999795$10.00
01-05 21:33SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY0.75$25.00
01-05 21:29Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?BUY0.8499999405$5.00
01-05 21:26Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?BUY0.7879999823$5.00
10-22 07:53Macron out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.1899999939$20.00