J8N
0xc9ca0e39eaa8fbbf19dc4e9160882bd43aa56cca
- Realised P&L
- $-11.37
- Volume
- $403.12
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $49.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.750 | 1.000 | $33.33 | +$8.33 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.955 | 0.989 | $7.36 | +$0.25 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.520 | $5.57 | +$2.57 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.017 | $1.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.045 | $0.96 | −$9.04 |
| Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.040 | $0.90 | −$6.10 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.041 | $0.64 | −$2.36 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.017 | $0.21 | −$1.79 |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? · Yes | 0.679 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.73at 0.660Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$7.34at 0.290Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.35at 0.788Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
- +$0.88at 0.850Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-08 19:57 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9549999987 | $7.11 |
| 01-20 09:03 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999569 | $3.00 |
| 01-20 09:02 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 01-20 09:02 | EU dissolves before 2027? | BUY | 0.057999985 | $3.50 |
| 01-20 08:57 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999478 | $3.00 |
| 01-14 16:31 | Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999912 | $15.00 |
| 01-13 14:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 22:22 | Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999515 | $3.00 |
| 01-05 22:21 | Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999717 | $7.00 |
| 01-05 22:20 | Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999859 | $7.00 |
| 01-05 21:47 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.6789999795 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 21:33 | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $25.00 |
| 01-05 21:29 | Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31? | BUY | 0.8499999405 | $5.00 |
| 01-05 21:26 | Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first? | BUY | 0.7879999823 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 07:53 | Macron out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |