PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc9C8F269315019111c3c081072Db26194d1e44Fb-1723842427065

0xc9c8f269315019111c3c081072db26194d1e44fb

Realised P&L
$-27.4k
Volume
$6.14M
Markets traded
1,083
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,083
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0670.040$1.5k−$1.0k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1610.125$948.93−$271.58
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0430.061$849.85+$249.44
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0160.009$462.53−$408.10
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0750.095$380.00+$80.00
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.1200.105$210.00−$30.00
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0090.009$208.64+$10.98
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0060.005$142.83−$18.88
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0110.004$90.00−$130.00
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0210.006$65.00−$145.00
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0070.005$50.00−$20.00
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0050.004$45.18−$1.04
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0420.003$25.56−$328.90
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0270.003$24.79−$242.86
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0240.025$17.16+$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 09:05Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?SELL0.013$6.50
10-12 09:03Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.105$78.75
10-12 07:09Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.002$20.00
10-12 07:09Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.002$0.71
10-12 07:08Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.019$86.05
10-12 07:07Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.01$4.88
10-12 07:06Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.04$19.07
10-12 07:05Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.003$63.16
10-12 07:04Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.019$10.97
10-11 19:50Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.034$69.56
10-11 19:46Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.12$3.2k
10-11 19:45Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.047$34.15
10-11 19:23Vikings vs. SaintsBUY0.14$7.00
10-11 19:23Vikings vs. SaintsBUY0.15$375.00
10-11 19:21Giants vs. CommandersBUY0.18$540.00