PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xc917afcced87852e9ec009341989eb6c52324df5

Realised P&L
$12.30
Volume
$92.36
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$21.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.4400.973$4.42+$2.42
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.5300.715$2.70+$0.70
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6800.825$2.43+$0.43
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.3900.785$2.35+$1.19
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2300.245$2.13+$0.13
Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? · No0.6500.650$2.00+$0.00
Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.4300.405$1.88$0.12
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · No0.7400.695$1.88$0.12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.7200.585$1.62$0.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 05:08Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-05 05:07WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
08-04 21:00Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.7199997408$2.00
08-04 12:53Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-04 04:53Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-03 20:51Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.74$2.00
08-03 12:51US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.68$2.00
08-03 04:51Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-02 20:35Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-02 11:58Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.659999918$1.77
08-02 03:07Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4019999104$2.00
08-01 19:06Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.72$2.00
08-01 11:04Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-01 01:14Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4099998721$1.25
07-31 17:14Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95